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Asset & Income Protection

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How Insurance Works - Managing Risk

Law of Large Numbers

The Role of Life Insurance

Life Insurance Fundamentals

What to Expect When Buying Life Insurance

The Role of Disability Insurance

Financing Long-Term Care

The Law of Large Numbers

Life insurance is a business. But it is only a business for those companies who are able to maintain their financial strength while paying out claims. While insurance helps you manage risk by protecting against things that would significantly impact your financial future if they occurred, the law of large numbers helps insurance companies by making predictable, with reasonable accuracy, the claims it will pay from year to year.

The Power of the Masses 

When you flip a coin, the probability that the coin will land on heads is 50% and the probability it will land on tails is 50%. However, let's say we flipped a coin 10 times, and it lands on heads 7 of those times. Does this mean the calculated probability was wrong?

No. In a small sample such as 10 coin tosses, the actual results may vary considerably from predicted results. However, if we flipped the coin 10 million times—a large number of times—the calculated probability of 50% heads and 50% tails would be extremely accurate.

Putting This Into Perspective 

Insurance companies cannot predict who will die when, but by using data about a large number of people, they can predict with reasonable accuracy how many people in a given population are likely to die during a certain period of time. And thus, the law of large numbers aids insurance companies in determining appropriate premium charges to ensure they can maintain financial strength while paying out claims.


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