Asset & Income Protection
Mutual Policyowners
How Insurance Works - Managing Risk
Law of Large Numbers
The Role of Life Insurance
Life Insurance Fundamentals
What to Expect When Buying Life Insurance
The Role of Disability Insurance
Financing Long-Term Care
Life insurance is a business. But it is only a business for those companies who are able to maintain their financial strength while paying out claims. While insurance helps you manage risk by protecting against things that would significantly impact your financial future if they occurred, the law of large numbers helps insurance companies by making predictable, with reasonable accuracy, the claims it will pay from year to year.
The Power of the Masses
When you flip a coin, the probability that the coin will land on heads is 50% and the probability it will land on tails is 50%. However, let's say we flipped a coin 10 times, and it lands on heads 7 of those times. Does this mean the calculated probability was wrong?
No. In a small sample such as 10 coin tosses, the actual results may vary considerably from predicted results. However, if we flipped the coin 10 million timesa large number of timesthe calculated probability of 50% heads and 50% tails would be extremely accurate.
Putting This Into Perspective
Insurance companies cannot predict who will die when, but by using data about a large number of people, they can predict with reasonable accuracy how many people in a given population are likely to die during a certain period of time. And thus, the law of large numbers aids insurance companies in determining appropriate premium charges to ensure they can maintain financial strength while paying out claims.
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Copyright 2008, The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company/Northwestern Mutual, Milwaukee, WI. All rights reserved. 720 East Wisconsin Avenue, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202-4797 - (414) 271-1444. The Northwestern Mutual Financial Network is a marketing name for the sales and distribution arm of The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company, its affiliates and subsidiaries.